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解釋報導:紐西蘭投票後接下來會發生什麼?

Reuters

更新於 2天前 • 發布於 2天前
國家黨黨魁克里斯多福・盧克森(Christopher Luxon)2026年11月8日在紐西蘭奧克蘭一場選舉派對上,與妻子亞曼達(Amanda)、女兒奧莉維亞(Olivia)和兒子威廉(William)站在台上時比手勢。路透/David RowlandChristopher Luxon, leader of the National Party, gestures as he stands on stage with his wife Amanda, his daughter Olivia and his son William at an election party in Auckland, New Zealand, November 8, 2026. REUTERS/David Rowland
工黨黨魁克里斯・希普金斯(Chris Hipkins)與伴侶托妮・葛瑞絲(Toni Grace)2026年11月7日抵達紐西蘭上哈特的一場選舉夜觀票派對。路透/Hollie AdamsLabour Party leader Chris Hipkins and his partner Toni Grace arrive for an election night watch party, in Upper Hutt, New Zealand, November 7, 2026. REUTERS/Hollie Adams

威靈頓,11月8日(路透)——根據週六國會大選的初步開票結果,紐西蘭執政聯盟可望保住政權,但下一屆政府的樣貌要到11月27日官方結果公布後才會明朗。WELLINGTON, Nov 8 (Reuters) - New Zealand's governing coalition hoped to hang on to power based on an initial vote count in the general election on Saturday, but the shape of the next government will not become clear until official results are announced on November 27.

目前開票結果如何?WHERE DO RESULTS STAND?

選舉委員會(Electoral Commission)的暫定結果顯示,初步開票結果中,目前由中間偏右的國家黨(National Party)、右翼行動黨(ACT Party)和民族主義的紐西蘭優先黨(New Zealand First)組成的執政聯盟,在131席國會中以67席取得微弱多數。An initial vote count showed the current governing coalition of the centre-right National Party, the right-wing ACT Party and the nationalist New Zealand First with a slim majority of 67 seats in the 131-seat parliament, according to provisional results from the Electoral Commission.

國家黨贏得42席,行動黨取得13席,紐西蘭優先黨拿下12席。National won 42 seats, ACT netted 13 and New Zealand First got 12.

這讓三黨有機會繼續執政。That gives the trio a chance to remain in power.

接下來會發生什麼?WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?

但結果仍可能改變。仍有約14%的選票、即399,365張選票尚待計算。這些「特殊票」包括離開住處投票的選民所投選票,而這類選票過去較偏向左傾政黨。But the outcome could change. About 14% of the vote or 399,365 ballots must still be counted. These "special votes" include ballots from voters away from home, who have historically favoured left-leaning parties.

可能受惠的政黨包括綠黨(Green Party)、毛利黨(Te Pati Maori)和工黨(Labour Party)。工黨目前是國會中不屬於執政聯盟的最大政黨。The beneficiaries could include the Green Party, Te Pati Maori and the Labour Party. Labour is currently the biggest party in Parliament not part of the governing coalition.

官方最終結果預定於11月27日出爐。Official final results are due on November 27.

組閣程序為何?WHAT IS THE PROCESS?

特殊票納入計算後,各政黨將知道自己需要多少席才能組成政府,並開始協商籌組聯合政府,或建立較鬆散的聯盟關係,也就是信任供給協議。Once special votes are in, parties will know how many seats they need to form a government and will start negotiating either a coalition or looser alliances known as confidence and supply agreements.

在這類協議下,較小政黨同意在關鍵表決中支持較大政黨的政府,但不取得內閣席次。Under those deals, a smaller party agrees to support a larger party's government on key votes, without taking cabinet seats.

可能出現哪些安排?WHAT ARRANGEMENTS ARE POSSIBLE?

最終席次可能讓中間派的機會黨(Opportunity Party)成為造王者。該黨主張以證據為本的政策,並將首度進入國會。The final tally could give the centrist Opportunity Party, which is entering parliament for the first time and argues for evidence-based policies, a kingmaker role.

國家黨黨魁兼總理盧克森先前已排除與該黨合作,但機會黨表示願意討論聯手。National leader and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has previously ruled out working with the party, but Opportunity has said it is willing to discuss joining forces.

紐西蘭何時可能產生新政府?WHEN MIGHT NEW ZEALAND GET A GOVERNMENT?

盧克森和工黨黨魁希普金斯都表示,他們會等到最終結果出爐後才開始聯合政府協商。Both Luxon and Labour leader Chris Hipkins have said they will wait for the final result before starting coalition discussions.

希普金斯10月底表示,他希望能在耶誕節前讓政府就位。Hipkins in late October said he would like to have a government in place before Christmas.

國會必須在1月14日或之前召開會議。Parliament has to meet on or before January 14.

在此之前由誰主政?WHO IS IN CHARGE UNTIL THEN?

現任政府,也就是國家黨領導的聯盟,將在新政府組成期間繼續以看守政府形式運作。The incumbent government, the National-led coalition, will continue to operate as a caretaker government while the new government is formed.

根據紐西蘭國會網站,看守政府可以延續國家的正常事務,但除非遇到緊急情況或危機,否則不能自行作出任何重大決定。According to New Zealand's parliamentary website, a caretaker government can continue the normal business of the country but cannot make any significant decisions on its own except in an emergency or crisis.

網站說:「在緊急的憲政、經濟或其他重大議題上,看守政府必須聽取即將上任新政府的意見,即使即將卸任的政府不同意擬議的行動方向。」“On urgent constitutional, economic, or other significant issues, the caretaker government has to listen to the new incoming government – even if the outgoing government disagrees with the proposed course of action,” it said.

(露西・克雷默威靈頓報導;辛西亞・奧斯特曼編輯)(Reporting by Lucy Craymer in Wellington; Editing by Cynthia Osterman)

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