紐西蘭大選結果膠著，新政府須等待數週才明朗

露西・克雷默、阿拉斯代爾・帕爾報導By Lucy Craymer and Alasdair Pal

威靈頓，11月8日（路透社）—— 紐西蘭大選後，紐西蘭人週日面臨數週的不確定性，不知道將由誰治理國家；目前的執政聯盟掌握微弱多數，但仍有一部分可能具有決定性的選票尚待清點。WELLINGTON, Nov 8 (Reuters) - New Zealanders faced weeks of uncertainty on Sunday over who will govern the country after their general election, with the current coalition holding a slim majority but a potentially decisive slice of votes still to count.

選舉委員會公布的週六投票初步結果顯示，總理克里斯多福・盧克森（Christopher Luxon）所屬國家黨及其盟友行動黨（ACT）與紐西蘭優先黨（New Zealand First），可望在目前預估的131席國會中取得67席。取得多數席次需66席。Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's National Party and its partners ACT and New Zealand First were on track for 67 of the currently projected 131-seat parliament, Electoral Commission preliminary results of Saturday's vote showed. Sixty-six seats are needed for a majority.

但選舉委員會表示，約占總票數14%的特別選票仍待清點。這些選票包括海外紐西蘭人及在所屬選區以外投票者的選票，過去一向較有利於左派。最終計票結果將於11月27日公布，屆時也會公布這些選票。But special votes, around 14% of the total, remain to be counted, the commission said. These — including ballots from overseas New Zealanders and people voting outside their electorates — have historically favoured the left. They will be announced with the final count on November 27.

在未來三年治理紐西蘭的執政聯盟組成之前，盧克森將領導看守政府。Until a coalition to govern New Zealand for the next three years is formed, Luxon will head a caretaker government.

中間派機會黨可能扮演關鍵角色CENTRIST OPPORTUNITY PARTY MAY PLAY KEY ROLE

這場選舉主要圍繞經濟疲軟與生活成本議題。選後，總理與反對黨工黨（Labour Party）領袖克里斯・希普金斯（Chris Hipkins）發表談話時，皆未宣布勝選。Neither the prime minister nor opposition leader Chris Hipkins of the Labour Party claimed victory in their speeches following the election, which has been dominated by talk of a soft economy and the cost of living.

盧克森在記者會上表示：「我一直說這會是一場非常膠著的選舉——事實證明確實如此。很遺憾，我們還要再等三週才知道這意味著什麼。」但他補充說，就目前數字來看，國家黨與現有盟友組成政府「相當可行」。"I've been saying it's going to be a very tight election — it has definitely proven to be that. We unfortunately don't know what that means for another three weeks," Luxon told a press conference but added that on current numbers it was "quite feasible" that National could build a government with its current partners.

如果國家黨領導的聯盟在官方計票結果中失去多數席次，無論是該聯盟或偏左聯盟，都需要中間派機會黨（Opportunity Party）的支持；該黨看來可能首次進入國會。If the National-led coalition loses its majority at the official count, either it or a left-leaning coalition would require the support of the centrist Opportunity Party, which looks likely to enter parliament for the first time.

盧克森先前多次排除與機會黨合作，但週日立場轉趨軟化。他拒絕再次排除該黨，轉而表示與機會黨建立關係完全合宜，但未界定這種關係。Luxon, who had repeatedly ruled out working with Opportunity, softened his stance on Sunday, refusing to again rule the party out and instead saying it would be entirely appropriate to build a relationship with Opportunity, without defining it.

威靈頓維多利亞大學政治學資深講師莫娜・克雷韋爾（Mona Krewel）表示，她認為兩黨有可能合作。Mona Krewel, a senior political science lecturer at Victoria University of Wellington, said she believed it was possible the two parties could work together.

她說：「我其實會把他們（機會黨）看作非常中間、非常務實，所以我的確認為他們能與國家黨合作成功。」"I actually would take them (Opportunity) for very centrist, very pragmatic, and so I do think they could make it work with National," she said.

國家黨、工黨支持度降至低點NATIONAL, LABOUR SUPPORT HITS LOW

紐西蘭於1996年採用混合制比例代表制，選民同時投票給政黨與地方選區候選人。國會共有71個地方選區、也就是選區席次；選舉委員會目前預估，將有60個政黨名單席次。New Zealand adopted a mixed-member proportional system in 1996, in which people vote for both a party and a local constituency candidate. There are 71 constituency, or electorate, seats, and the Electoral Commission now projects there will be 60 party list seats.

政治評論員班・湯瑪斯（Ben Thomas）表示，由於策略性投票，國家黨與小黨毛利黨（Te Pati Maori）相較於普選票支持率，各自贏得不成比例的高比例選區席次，重塑了國會席次平衡，也引發對選舉制度的辯論。National and a minor party, Te Pati Maori, each won a disproportionately high share of constituency seats relative to their popular vote support due to tactical voting, reshaping the balance of seats in parliament and sparking debate about the electoral system, said political commentator Ben Thomas.

湯瑪斯說：「由於選區席次與整體國會之間如何互動的規則變化難測，我們看來確實正朝著歷來比例性最低的國會前進。」"It certainly looks as if we're on track for the least-proportional parliament that we've had, as a result of the vagaries of the rules around how electorate seats interact with the parliament as a whole," Thomas said.

國家黨與工黨的普選票得票率均低於30%，是新制度引進以來最低，顯示選民對盧克森任內經濟成長步調緩慢感到不滿，也不信任希普金斯扭轉局勢的承諾。The popular vote shares for National and Labour were each below 30%, their lowest since the new system was introduced, signalling voters' frustration with the slow pace of economic growth under Luxon and a lack of trust in Hipkins' promise to turn things around.

國家黨普選票得票率偏低，意味著該黨預計將在下屆國會失去數名資深國會議員，包括財政部長妮可拉・威利斯（Nicola Willis）。威利斯在接下來四週仍將留任該職。National's low popular vote means the party is set to lose several senior lawmakers in the next parliament, including Finance Minister Nicola Willis. Willis remains in the role for the next four weeks.

國家黨國會議員西米恩・布朗（Simeon Brown）表示，該黨失去了一些重要人物，使這項結果「苦樂參半」。Simeon Brown, a National lawmaker, said the party had lost some significant people, making the result "bittersweet".

（露西・克雷默與阿拉斯代爾・帕爾威靈頓報導；休・勞森、馬修・路易斯與威廉・馬拉德編輯）(Reporting by Lucy Craymer and Alasdair Pal in Wellington; Editing by Hugh Lawson, Matthew Lewis and William Mallard)