誰是丘蕾・王？這位政壇素人可能決定紐西蘭下屆政府歸屬

作者：阿拉斯代爾・帕爾By Alasdair Pal

威靈頓，11月8日（路透社）——丘蕾・王（Qiulae Wong）從政不到一年，但在週六國會大選初步計票未能產生明確勝出者後，這名38歲政治人物可能成為左右國會權力平衡的關鍵人物。WELLINGTON, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Qiulae Wong has been a politician for less than a year, but the 38-year-old could hold the balance of power in New Zealand's parliament after initial counting in Saturday's general election ended without a clear victor.

選舉委員會初步結果顯示，總理盧克森（Christopher Luxon）領導的中間偏右執政聯盟，可能僅以兩席的微弱優勢掌握國會過半席次。然而，隨著11月27日正式計票結果出爐，過往通常較有利於左派陣營的特別選票，可能讓這項優勢消失。Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's centre-right coalition could govern with a majority of just two seats, Electoral Commission preliminary results showed, but that slim margin could disappear once special votes, which typically favour the left, are released at the official count on November 27.

這意味著，無論中間偏右或中間偏左陣營，都需要獲得王所屬的中間派機會黨支持；該黨看來很可能首度進入國會。盧克森的國家黨或由克里斯・希普金斯（Chris Hipkins）領導的工黨，預料都將在未來數天或數週內嘗試籌組聯合政府。That would mean either a centre-right or centre-left bloc would require the support of Wong's centrist Opportunity Party, which looks likely to enter parliament for the first time. Either Luxon's National party or Labour, led by Chris Hipkins, are expected to try to form a coalition government in the coming days or weeks.

王曾任永續商業顧問，她看到一則徵才廣告後，應徵領導這個創黨10年的政黨，並於2025年11月接任。Wong, a former sustainable-business consultant, answered a job advertisement to head the decade-old party, taking over in November 2025.

選舉委員會資料顯示，她很快主導該黨重新塑造形象，並讓機會黨人氣大幅攀升；該黨目前得票率為5.96%，可望在131席國會中取得7席。She quickly oversaw a rebrand and dramatic rise in Opportunity's popularity, and its current vote share of 5.96% would give it seven seats in a 131-member parliament, Electoral Commission data showed.

王週六晚間在奧克蘭對歡呼的支持者表示：「看起來我們好像才剛出現，像是一夕成功，但對在場許多人來說，這個結果已經醞釀很久。」"It might seem like we've just arrived, that this is an overnight success, but to many in this room, this result has been a long time coming," Wong told cheering supporters in Auckland on Saturday night.

大刀闊斧的稅改主張SWEEPING TAX PROPOSALS

機會黨主打政策聚焦稅制，主張向多數紐西蘭居民發放每年19,400紐西蘭元（10,800美元）的全民基本收入，財源來自每年課徵稅率1.75%的土地稅。該黨也希望簡化紐西蘭的所得稅制度。Opportunity's flagship policies centre on tax, with an annual NZ$19,400 ($10,800) universal basic income for most New Zealand residents funded by a 1.75% annual land tax. The party also wants to simplify the country's income tax system.

王在8月接受路透社訪問時表示：「全球也出現一種轉變，越來越多人認為有必要少課勞動的稅，多課財富或資產的稅。因此，這套稅制重整方案的設計目的，就是把所得稅的一部分負擔轉移到房地產上。」“There's also been a shift globally around seeing the need to tax work less and tax wealth more or tax assets more. And so that's what this tax reset package is designed to do: take some of the burden off income tax and place that onto property,” Wong told Reuters in an interview in August.

向居民發放基本收入，將是已開發經濟體首例。數十個國家課徵土地稅，但通常不包含主要住所，這點不同於機會黨的提案。A basic income for residents would be a first for a developed economy. Dozens of countries have land taxes, but they usually exclude primary residences, unlike Opportunity's proposal.

國家黨和工黨都已排除採納機會黨稅務政策的可能性；盧克森則在競選期間數十次表示，他不會與機會黨組成聯合政府。National and Labour have both ruled out adopting Opportunity's tax policies, while Luxon has said dozens of times during campaigning he would not enter into coalition with Opportunity.

王表示，她將尋求與取得國會最多席次的政黨談判，並稱無論與國家黨或工黨，都有可能找到共同立場。Wong has said she would look to negotiate with the party that secures the largest number of seats in parliament and that it would be possible to find common ground with National or Labour.

她週六告訴公共廣播機構紐西蘭電視台（TVNZ）：「我們與其他政黨合作有不同形式，無論是聯合政府、信任與預算支持，或是坐在中立席，所有選項目前都擺在我們面前。」"There are different forms of us working with other parties, whether that's coalition, confidence and supply, being on the crossbenches, and all of those options are on the table for us right now," she told public broadcaster TVNZ on Saturday.

「我們必須看看選票最後如何分布。」"We have to we have to look at how the votes land."

（1美元 = 1.8034紐西蘭元）($1 = 1.8034 New Zealand dollars)

（威靈頓阿拉斯代爾・帕爾報導；威廉・馬拉德編輯）(Reporting by Alasdair Pal in Wellington; Editing by William Mallard)