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Atlas民調:巴西魯拉與弗拉維奧・波索納洛在第二輪投票情境仍不分上下

Reuters

更新於 1天前 • 發布於 1天前
巴西總統路易斯・伊納西歐・魯拉・達席爾瓦(Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva)代表勞工黨(PT)尋求連任,2026年9月16日在巴西巴西利亞一場競選造勢活動發表談話。路透社/Adriano MachadoBrazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, a candidate for reelection for the Workers' Party (PT), speaks at a campaign rally in Brasilia, Brazil, September 16, 2026. REUTERS/Adriano Machado
巴西自由黨(PL)總統候選人弗拉維奧・波索納洛(Flavio Bolsonaro)2026年9月21日在巴西納塔爾出席競選造勢活動。路透社/Alexandre LagoBrazilian presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) attends a campaign rally in Natal, Brazil September 21, 2026. REUTERS/Alexandre Lago

聖保羅,9月23日(路透社)— AtlasIntel/彭博週三公布的民調顯示,在下月大選前的一項模擬第二輪投票中,巴西總統路易斯・伊納西歐・魯拉・達席爾瓦與參議員弗拉維奧・波索納洛在統計上仍不分上下;這名左派現任總統目前在民調誤差範圍內些微領先。SAO PAULO, Sept 23 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro remain statistically tied in a simulated runoff ahead of next month's election, an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed on Wednesday, with the leftist incumbent now holding a narrow lead within the survey's margin of error.

• 民調指出,若進入第二輪投票,魯拉將獲得47.7%的選民支持,這名右翼國會議員則為47.4%。• In a runoff, Lula would receive 47.7% of voter support, compared with 47.4% for the right-wing lawmaker, the poll said.

• 在9月17日公布的民調中,前總統雅伊爾・波索納洛(Jair Bolsonaro)的長子以47.2%對46.8%領先魯拉。• In a September 17 poll, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro led Lula 47.2% to 46.8%.

• 在第一輪投票情境中,魯拉將獲得45.8%的選民支持,其後依序為波索納洛(43.4%)、雷南・桑托斯(Renan Santos,4.5%)、奧古斯托・庫里(Augusto Cury,2.1%)以及羅納多・卡亞多(Ronaldo Caiado,1.3%)。• In a first-round scenario, Lula would receive 45.8% of voter support, followed by Bolsonaro (43.4%), Renan Santos (4.5%), Augusto Cury (2.1%) and Ronaldo Caiado (1.3%).

• 上一次民調顯示,魯拉在第一輪投票中的支持率為44.1%,波索納洛為41.7%。• The previous poll showed Lula at 44.1% and Bolsonaro at 41.7% in the first round.

• 若沒有候選人在10月4日選舉中取得超過50%的有效票,得票領先的兩名候選人將晉級10月25日的第二輪投票。• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 election, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25.

• AtlasIntel於9月17日至22日調查5,015人。這項民調的誤差範圍為1個百分點。• AtlasIntel surveyed 5,015 people between September 17 and 22. The poll has a margin of error of 1 percentage point.

(Gabriel Araujo與Fernando Cardoso報導;Isabel Teles編輯)(Reporting by Gabriel Araujo and Fernando Cardoso; Editing by Isabel Teles)

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