Datafolha民調：巴西大選前，魯拉微幅領先弗拉維奧・波索納洛

聖保羅，9月24日（路透社）—— Datafolha週四公布的民調顯示，在10月大選前一項可能第二輪決選的模擬情境中，巴西總統路易斯・伊納西奧・魯拉・達席爾瓦維持對主要挑戰者、參議員弗拉維奧・波索納洛（Flavio Bolsonaro）2個百分點的領先。SAO PAULO, Sept 24 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has maintained a two-percentage-point lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, his main challenger, in a potential runoff ahead of October's election, a Datafolha poll showed on Thursday.

在模擬第二輪決選中，魯拉可獲47%選票，波索納洛則為45%。Datafolha上週的前次民調顯示，魯拉以46%對44%領先波索納洛。In a simulated runoff, Lula would receive 47% of the vote compared with 45% for Bolsonaro. A previous Datafolha poll last week had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 46% to 44%.

• 由於這項結果落在民調正負2個百分點的誤差範圍內，因此也代表雙方呈現統計上的平手。• The result also represents a technical tie as it falls within the poll's margin of error of 2 percentage points.

• 在第一輪投票情境中，魯拉以40%得票率領先，其後依序為波索納洛（36%）、奧古斯托・庫里（Augusto Cury）（5%）、羅納度・卡亞多（Ronaldo Caiado）（4%）和雷南・桑托斯（Renan Santos）（3%）。• In a first-round scenario, Lula leads with 40% of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro (36%), Augusto Cury (5%), Ronaldo Caiado (4%) and Renan Santos (3%).

• 前次民調顯示，這位左派總統獲39%支持，對上這名右翼參議員的36%。• The previous poll showed the leftist president with 39% against the right-wing senator's 36%.

• 參議員波索納洛是前總統雅伊爾・波索納洛（Jair Bolsonaro）的長子；雅伊爾・波索納洛因試圖推翻2022年敗給魯拉的選舉結果，正在服27年徒刑。• Senator Bolsonaro is the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year prison sentence for attempting to overturn his 2022 election defeat to Lula.

• 如果沒有候選人在第一輪投票中取得超過50%的有效票，得票前兩名將進入第二輪決選。• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff.

• Datafolha於9月22日至23日調查2,002人。• Datafolha surveyed 2,002 people between September 22-23.

（Fernando Cardoso報導；Andre Romani編輯）(Reporting by Fernando Cardoso; Editing by Andre Romani)